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Faithful Forecast

A Forecast for Southern Schuylkill and Northern Lebanon County  

Major Winter Storm Next Wed? 

2/18/2016

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Yes, another major winter storm may be impacting us centered on next Wednesday.  Here is what I am confident in at this time:
  1. Fresh cold air coming into our area (very different than this week’s storm)
  2. Significant storm developing in the Gulf Coast states Late Mon/Tue.
  3. Lots of moisture available just like this week’s storm.
  4. Storm tracking along the east coast toward North Carolina. 
What we do not know:
  1. Track of storm: Continuing up the coast or off the Carolina coast. 
  2. Track of storm: inland [giving us a repeat of last week’s storm] or further east [giving us snow.]
  3. Potential: This storm appears to have the ingredients to be a really big storm, but it could also be a relatively weak, disorganized one too ...


Please, DO NOT pay any attention to forecasts that give you accumulations of snow/rain/ice from more than 3 days out. No one knows the future. Only God knows what we will get.

​PLEASE DO NOT LISTEN TO THE HYPE. The hype and sensationalism has been over the top these last couple of weeks. It is not a good trend. And it will likely do the same this coming weekend leading into next week.
 
Weather Points for Next 7 Days:
  • Desire for Spring vs. Winter’s Refusal:  Sat looks to be mild like early spring, but the cold air could be stubborn [just like this last storm where cold air stayed locked in areas just to our west], so the cold air may stay locked on Saturday, giving us a cool day instead. Forecast error is potentially large here.  
  • Rain Showers:  Area of low pressure moving to our south Sun night to early Mon morning. This will bring some rain showers that could end as/mix with wet snow. No accumulation expected.
  • Calm before the storm: Mon and Tue look seasonal with some partial sunshine.
  • Major Winter Storm Wed:  I say winter storm because snow/ice/rain is all possible at this time.
 
Upcoming 7 Days:

Friday: 34. Increasing clouds. Some spotty light snow/freezing rain possible late at night.   

Saturday: 46. Clouds and sun. Mild. Breezy. (If cold air gets trapped its 38, error potential is large here)      
Sunday: 46. Increasing clouds. Nighttime rain showers possibly mixed with wet snow.      

Monday: 35. Decreasing clouds. Cooler.         

Tuesday: 34. Increasing clouds. Snow developing overnight.      

Wednesday: 32. Snow is likely. Chance ice/rain as well. Precipitation could be heavy at times.  

Thursday: 28. Mostly cloudy. Snow showers possible. Cold.    

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    Author

    Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.

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