- Rain: Some heavy rain is likely.
- Snow: Some heavy wet snow is likely to NW of the low-pressure center.
- Wind: It will become windy, esp. Later Fri and Sat. Some winds could be strong and gusty.
The key to the storm is where will it be slow moving. What I mean is this:
- Slow moving around Long Island, then we just get rain.
- Slow moving around the Delmarva Peninsula then we get rain changing to snow.
- Slow moving over NJ then we get heavy rain, and flooding risks increase.
- Slow moving 200 or more miles off the coast means lighter, showery rains, and less wind.
Another key is that some front running energy should pass to our north on Wed. This could act to suppress the main storm, provide some slightly cooler air, and keep the coastal low further off shore.
One last aspect is the energy that comes last, will likely be understated by the computer models, like usual. This will lead to a stronger storm than currently projected. But time will tell as we get closer.
Remember there will be only ONE outcome/result. It will not do this, or that, or the other thing. Forecasting is trying to pinpoint the ONE outcome that WILL occur. General idea is easy. Details are challenging.
But until then, enjoy today, tomorrow, and Wed. Nice with sunshine, although clouds will increase on Wed. But staying dry, and mild.