Looking for Rain?

Some are beginning to look for it, and according to the latest US Drought Monitor (above), we are abnormally dry and even some areas of moderate drought are appear in NW NJ and in eastern New England. Not surprised at this, but this is surface drought, and dryness. This is not long-term drought. So do not fear.

Our chances for rain will be tonight and tomorrow (not the greatest chance) and then again on Thursday. Tonight and tomorrow’s rain is coming from a cold front moving SE from Canada. This front will be proceeded by a trough of low pressure that will push a weakening line of showers/storms through our area in the overnight hours. However, the actually leading edge of cooler will not make it through until midday Tue. There could be a few storms with this leading edge of cooler air, esp. to our south. The timing is just not very good for us to get a widespread rain.

The best opportunity for a widespread rain is Thu. This looks a lot like a week ago. Heavy rain and storms will likely occur along the path of the low pressure. The heaviest should be in SW PA and the last in NE PA.  Weather does repeat itself. And it should again. The potential is there for 2”+ rain even for our area. Some models even show this, but the pattern of late makes me hesitate, so at this time I think .5” with 1”+ locally is more likely.

Once this rain maker is through, the pattern should repeat: Warming up Fri, Sat and becoming hot Sun and Mon. Sound familiar?  Wash, rinse, repeat.
 
Points for Next 7 Days:

1. Hot Monday:  A chunk of the central states heat will surge NE Sunday into Tuesday. Temps around 90 Mon and possibly Tue, depending on timing of clouds/showers with cold front.
2. Surprisingly Hot Tue?  Real leading edge of cooler air will not move into our area until Tue afternoon. So, with enough early sunshine temperatures could surge well into the 80s and even near 90 in some places like Lancaster, before the cooler air comes in. It will be cooler Tue night.
3. Super Soaker: For someone yes, but probably not for us here. It looks to rain Thu with shows and storms around. Some rain could be heavy. But again, the further S and W you go the more rain, and the further N and E the less (Kind of like the US Drought Monitor)
4. Heat Rebuilding: Not exactly a heat wave, but very similar to what we had this past Fri – Mon should take place next Fri-Mon also.

Details:

Rest of Today: 90. Sunny. Hot. More humid.  Very warm overnight with a chance for a shower or thunderstorm.  

Tuesday: 87. Sun and clouds. Very warm. Becoming less humid. Chance shower or thunderstorm.   

Wednesday: 81. Mostly sunny. A little cooler. Breezy.       

Thursday: 74. Cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Some heavy rain possible.  

Friday: 85. Mostly sunny. Much warmer.    

Saturday: 86. Mostly sunny. Warm.                

Sunday: 88. Sunny. Very warm.  

Monday: 90: Sunny. Hot and more humid.