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Faithful Forecast

A Forecast for Southern Schuylkill and Northern Lebanon County  

Humidity Continues. One the Hot Side through Wed. Then a Break - Updated

8/17/2019

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Obviously for many, there are more showers than previously thought. It's pouring in my backyard right now, and it has for at least 10 minutes. And it has or will in many others. But the sun will come back out soon. Do, however, watch out for more showers/or a storm this evening, esp. toward dark , if they hold together.  

Again, an over-all region wide drier pattern is taking hold, BUT that does not mean it will rain. The set-up we have had the past few days would have yielded flash flood warnings last year (because similar scenarios did just that) but now we have scattered showers and storms. But there has been a bit of rain this week. Which was needed for surface layers of the ground were getting dry. 

A chance for a shower or storm will continue for Sat - Wed. But Sat will most likely stay dry, as will Mon. But Sun and Tue it is very likely someone will get wet in the afternoon/evening hours. Wednesday does look wet with everyone getting into heavy showers and storms as this warm spell comes to an end with refreshing air beginning next Thur. 

Notes: There's been some talk of a "heat wave" coming to the NE this weekend and early next week. A heat wave must be 3 consecutive days of 90 degree heat. Not real-feel or heat index stuff either. Real actual temperatures. We will NOT make it. Perhaps 2 but not 3. The cities will if you take a downtown temperature reading in the middle of paved roads, buildings, concrete, air conditioners dispelling hot air, etc, etc, etc. The Urban Heat Island (UHI) is a real thing. In cities it will make the heat wave definition. But go outside the city, and it likely won't. 

Enjoy. 
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    Author

    Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.

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