Yes, we have 24 hours to go in this heavy rain threat then we have sunshine and warm temperatures with highs in the upper 80s for Sun and Mon, and possibly Tue depending on how quickly the cold front approaches.
On thing that has stood out with this wet pattern this week is that the rains have been spaced far apart and have moved in and out quickly. Last week, they repeated and moved slow. Thankfully they are not doing that this week. I believe this idea will continue. For today and tonight.
The biggest concern is tonight as we could be in the main flow of precipitation (which has been to our west most of the week) move east, and that could bring 1-2” rain with locally higher amounts due to thunderstorms. So, the heavy rain threat is still there, and localized flash flooding is possible, but it will not be like last week’s flooding.
Once through tonight, nice warm summer weather begins with increasing sunshine and dry conditions through Monday.
A new cold front will approach the area on Tuesday and bring a chance for showers and storms, that will linger into Wednesday and Thursday.
(Prior to this front, there has been talk among some that a “heat wave” is coming. Technically a heat wave is 3 consecutive days of 90 or above temperatures. Sun – Tue may average 88-89 degrees for highs, which is about 3-4 degrees above average … pretty typical for sunny summer days … not a big deal. But you boost the temperature 1-2 degrees and it’s magically a “heat wave” and the hysteria begins. This talk all started because one model showed widespread temperatures in the 90s to near 100 early one morning. It was a ridiculous forecast, one the model rejected on the very next run 6 hours later, but the word of “heat wave” was issued by a few and picked up by others. Now, the heat wave idea is dead. Surprise, surprise, surprise)
Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.