From Friday’s Update: “Messy Monday: Cloudy with chance for light freezing rain/drizzle then light rain. Temperatures will be raw and chilly as they will be stuck in the 30s all day. Wet Tuesday: Periods of rain for Tuesday into early Wednesday. Temperatures slowly rise into the 40s and then jump to 50 or higher early Wednesday with the passage of the cold front. Colder Wednesday night and for the near future. Chance for accumulating snow Fri and Sat.” The whole forecast is rather good but some adjustments are needed.
Footnote: The computer models have been horrible after its 72 to 96 hour forecasts. It is one of the most consistantly bad stretches of recent memory. And this includes all of the models. One run to the next can differ significantly and its been going on for a few weeks at least. Just really bad.
The computers are to help give us guidance or ideas as to what may be coming in the days ahead. But when they are so bad, you might as well throw them out and just go with what seems reasonable knowing what we have had in the pattern so far ...
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AuthorPastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made. Categories |