Winter Storm or not for Sun Night – Monday Night? That is the question. And the computer models are supposed to be helpful tools. Well, not so much with this. The supposed best (EURO) has been bad with it: heavy snow to light snow to heavy snow to no snow to light snow. The second best has been about the same. The 3rd and 4th best are more stable but are shifting around too.
Then there is the one hardly anyone talks about, the ICON or German model. It has been amazingly consistent for the last several days. Almost uncanny to see run after run giving the same basic result. It was the only one to nail the Dec storm and the northern shift of heavy snow. It was the first one to nail the north shift this past week when it looked like it would snow on Tue. The ICON abandoned the snow idea well before other models did. It will be interesting to see how it fares with this storm.
My ideas: Snow will begin late Sunday, likely after 2 pm. Snow will continue through much of Monday. It may not snow the whole time as it could be off and on. It may be mostly light to even heavy at times. These details leading to amounts is a little early since it is about 48 hours away yet. I will issue a snow forecast Sat evening.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. Cold. 28.
Sunday: Partly sunny early. Cloudy with snow arriving after 2 pm. 30.
Monday: Snow likely. 28.
Tuesday: Flurries/snow showers early. Breezy. Chilly. 33.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. 34.
Thursday: Mostly sunny. 35.
Friday: Cloudy. Chance for brief snow/ice then all rain showers. 44.
Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.