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Faithful Forecast

A Forecast for Southern Schuylkill and Northern Lebanon County  

February 07th, 2020

2/7/2020

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​Quick update this morning.
Rapidly strengthening storm will move NE right over us or just to our east. This makes for a potentially dicey forecast. Details:
1.Heavy rain through 10 am. That is the easy part.
2.Between 10 am – 1 pm rain changes to snow. But when?  Tough call. Elevation will also play a role.
3.1 pm – 4 pm light snow showers end.
 
Accumulations:
  • Rain:  > 1”
  • Snow: C – 2” (2” mainly on ridges unless change to snow is early).
 
It is unusual to have the rain change to snow when we are near or above 40. But this set up is not usual. I still would not be surprised to see it end as a mix of rain and snow in the valleys and that is it. But I do think we get a burst of snow just before it ends this afternoon. We will have to see.
Note: If it does give a good burst of heavy wet snow for 30 min or more, be reminded that wet snow will accumulate on roads quickly. An early change over could be a mess. Again, elevation will also be important.
Enjoy.
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    Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.

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