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Faithful Forecast

A Forecast for Southern Schuylkill and Northern Lebanon County  

Expectations Disappoint

1/25/2019

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At the beginning of Nov many winter outlooks were touting with “above average confidence” a very cold, and very snowy winter for the eastern part of the USA. Then the snowstorm hit in mid-Nov. That sent people into a tizzy. “Winter is going to be incredible. What a start!”

Fast-forward to Dec 25. No real snow around for most.  People started complaining “winter is over.” But other meteorologists/hobbyists said not so fast. “The pattern will change.”  So, it was touted with confidence that the pattern was changing (it did) and winter would return.

Fast-forward to today, Jan 25. A chorus of meteorologists/hobbyists have joined the naysayers, “winter is failing to deliver. No storms in sight. Not much hope for snow.”  Because they “experts” have declared the crash and burn of winter, we should look for spring.

Problem: Expectations.

t seems that many want a 30” back-breaking, car-burying blizzard two to three times a year. Then winter is complete. I have no idea where that comes from, but it is sad that small to moderate snowfall potential is ignored simply because it is not “big enough”. 

I guess it fits with out culture of today: always looking for the bigger, newer, and more exciting experience. 2-4” of snow is too boring. Has to be 2-3 ft.  Truly sad. If one loves the weather, then they ought to enjoy all kinds of weather: sunshine, warm, cold, rainstorms, snowstorms, big and small. I do and I marvel at what God has created.

It works well for the most part. Sometimes it gets chaotic and dangerous, but that has more do to with the curse upon the world due to our sinful rebellion against God (See Genesis), than anything else. 

Moving on ... what about any upcoming winter weather? Glad you asked.
  1. There may be a brief snow shower this morning, but it will be mostly turning colder.
  2. Cold Sat with some flurries possible.
  3. Touch milder Sun, with some light snow possible after dark. Not a big deal though.
  4. Increasing clouds Mon. Maybe a touch of light snow overnight.
  5. Cloudy with rain/snow developing, changing to all snow and continuing overnight.
  6. Snow ending Wed and turning windy and bitterly cold.

Yes, the Tue into Wed system is not just a weak system/frontal boundary. I believe it will be more than that. And it could produce a nice moderate snowfall for us. Been eyeing this since early this week. But many are ignoring it because it’s not the “big one”.  Doesn’t matter, its weather. So we forecast.
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Have a great day. God is good … all the time. Enjoy. 
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    Author

    Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.

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