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Faithful Forecast

A Forecast for Southern Schuylkill and Northern Lebanon County  

End of Winter's Last Stand in Sight

3/16/2017

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Discussion:

Winter’s Last Stand has become quite impressive. The cold of this week and the snow from last Friday to the snow of Tue/Wed is also very impressive. Not sure what was in your backyard, but a range of 16-22” sounds about right for most people I’ve talked with.  The amounts increased to 30” or higher in the Pocono’s and into New York State. NW NJ got a lot of snow as well (See map). Over-all the storm went about as I expected, except for the fact that the precipitation came in a bit earlier than I thought. 

Filling up on gas at 8 pm and seeing snow begin to fall was a bit of a surprise. And to have 5” by 3 am was also a surprise, but only because it came in early. But really that was not a big goof. The biggest surprise was the lack of wind (relatively speaking) during the storm Tue morning. It did not disappoint to our east as winds gusted to 0ver 70 mph along the NJ, NY, MA coasts. Very impressive indeed. But here, the winds were strong aloft, but didn’t come down to the surface, which was fine by me.

But I am pleased with how it all played out: about as expected for our area.

And now on to the rest of the week and into the weekend: The deep cold air will moderate as a warm front approaches our area Friday night into Saturday. I will keep an eye on Sat/Sat night as this system may re-develop along the mid-Atlantic coast. If so, how close? How much moisture? Coastal areas or inland too? Right now it looks to be a light snowfall. There will be some accumulation, however, with temperatures in the middle 30's on Saturday, it will struggle to stick to roads, driveways, etc. It will accumulate on the existing snow cover.
 
Behind this system will be seasonally cool air. The next weather maker will come along Tuesday with milder temperatures and some rain showers. More very cold air for next Wednesday before moderating some Thursday.
The dailies:
  • Thursday: Sunshine and some clouds. Windy at times. Cold.   
  • Friday: Increasing clouds. Not as cold. Light snow likely after dark. Slight chance for freezing rain.  
  • Saturday: Mostly cloudy. Chance for wet snow/rain.   
  • Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny. Blustery. Chilly.  
  • Monday: Mostly sunny. Milder.
  • Tuesday: Cloudy. Milder. Chance for rain showers.   
  • Wednesday: Clearing. Windy. Cold.
Enjoy!

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    Author

    Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.

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