It seems that all eyes are looking to next weekend. And I can understand why. I pointed out last week that this upcoming weekend (18-20) was one to watch for a significant storm. And the storm is coming. The confidence level is very high indeed. But what about the details?
The details are not so certain yet. There are 2 basic ideas for this system:
I personally favor something close to #1. If I had my wish, I would go for #2. But when forecasting I need to look at what seems most likely, not what I wish. And some variation of #1 is what I lean toward right now.
Now, before we get there, we do have a cold front moving through Wed night, reinforcing our cold air, and giving us a cold Thursday. Then a system moves in for Thu night bringing light snow and light accumulations by Fri morning. Not a big storm; yet not one to overlook either. And it may play a role in our weekend storm if it is a little stronger causing the pattern to flatten a little, making us colder. Time will tell.
That’s all for now. Until next time (Wed probably). Enjoy.
Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.