It’s been a chilly to cold stretch of weather the last week. And it will continue through Thursday before it begins to turn seasonably mild. Nothing unusual. Nothing outlandish. Nothing that isn’t unexpected. It’s typical. Our average temperatures for this time of year should rise to the lower 40s and drop to the upper 20s at night. And this week most days will see temperatures rise to the middle 30s and drop into the 20s or even lower in a few spots.
High pressure will dominate for the most part, although there will be some clouds around from time to time. By Thursday, a new storm system begins to take shape over the plains. This storm will track NE. But how it does is somewhat unknown. It may go to our NW into Canada. It may track to our south and off the coast. It won’t matter as it will be all rain anyway. And there could be a lot of rain: 1-2” worth. The cold air will retreat as warm air surges north.
The biggest question will be how warm will it get Saturday? If the warm air comes in, we could make a run to near 60 for a short time in the morning. But historically, the cool air does not like to leave, so we could easily remain stuck in the 40s all day. A seasonably mild day for sure.
Sunday should remain on the mild side with some sunshine around. (It should be sunnier than this past Sunday (yesterday) as the clouds from that southern storm came a bit further north than expected). Will it stay mild? No. I do not believe it will. Some are touting a warm stretch. Much like was said about November. We know how brief that warm stretch turned out. I think something similar will occur here. For example:
I do not believe we will see one this year. It has been a while since we’ve seen a true white Christmas. We had a frosty/frozen one last year. The ground did have a whitish look to it with the dusting of snow and very cold temperatures. But a true snow-covered Christmas? It has been a while. There is a chance once we are past the 21st of this month. Around that time the cold air should be returning in a more widespread fashion. So that leaves about 4 days to get snow on the ground … possible, but unlikely as I see it right now. Things can change.
Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.