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Faithful Forecast

A Forecast for Southern Schuylkill and Northern Lebanon County  

Bye-Bye Winter … Hello Spring (Again)!

4/11/2016

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Winter is now done until say December. Spring is now taking control this week and will do so until summer takes over. A ridge of high pressure will begin to dominate this week starting Wed and lasting through the upcoming weekend. This will bring warming temperatures and beautiful sunny skies.

As this happens here unsettled weather will dominate portions of the interior west and into the central plains. Spring rains and snow is always good news for those areas.

For the rain tonight into Tues, the anticipated soaking rain will not be too soaking. A wave of low pressure will form along front enhancing the precipitation in front of it, but behind it, you get sinking air, and that dries up our precipitation. The front moves through early tomorrow morning right when the sinking air is at its peak. This means showers, and no real soaking rain.

Summary: right forecast, bad timing. Western PA will get a good soaking, and so will New England. But us? Not so much.

Highlight Battle: From the tropical tidbits sight, look at the nearly 20 degree forecast difference for 2 pm today between these 2 models. WOW!  It is really sad that a less than 12 hour forecast can be so different.  
Beyond that, there is not a whole lot else to talk about. So we shall move on.
 
Points for Next 7 Days:
  1. Cool: Shower or two as warm front moves through. High temps will be late and overnight as temps climb today into Tue morning.
  2. Weak Front moves through Tuesday morning with some showers.  
  3. Beautiful Weather Alert: Sunny Wed through Sunday. Temps start in the 50s Wed and peak around 70 Sunday.
  4. Fly in the Ointment: Slow meandering storm off the east coast could drift west Sat into Sun and produce cloudier skies and lower temperatures. I don’t think it will happen, but since it is possible, keep this in mind in case the forecast does change later this week.
 
Details:

Monday: 52. Temps steady to slowly rising overnight. Mostly cloudy. Couple showers. Breezy late.                

Tuesday: 60. Mostly cloudy. Showers ending in the morning.     

Wednesday: 53. Sun and clouds. Breezy.               

Thursday: 57. Sun and clouds. Pleasant.  

Friday: 61. Sunny. Nice and beautiful.      

Saturday: 66.  Sun and clouds. Warmer.     

Sunday: 72. Sun and clouds. Warm.        
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    Author

    Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.

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