There were several reports of flash flooding around central PA yesterday. Although the storms never made it into our area, that is ok. The rains fell over some of the driest parts of the state. So that is good. Flash flooding isn’t good, but the rain is mostly beneficial.
The threat for flash flooding will continue to grow, however. Why? Well, a very, very moist atmosphere will stay in place through Tue. Every day it could rain, but like yesterday, it will dry for most of the time through Saturday. Every day it rains, the ground moistens, and eventually as ground moistens it cannot absorb as much, leading to increased run off. So the flash flood threat increases. It really increases Sun – Tue. This is when a super slow moving front, interacting with deep tropical moisture and a tropical disturbance (see map) will unleash some widespread heavy rains over much of the state. This set up is a drought busting set up for many in our state.
Again I fully expect 2”+ or rain to be widespread throughout our region, with locally much higher amounts possible.
After this deep tropical moisture leaves by midweek next week, a much broader, deeper trough will begin to take over for a little while. This will lead to a period of much cooler and drier air for the eastern half to 2/3rd of the US. So the latter half of August will be quite pleasant it appears. But over-all that trough in the east/northeast and ridge to our west pattern, with variations from week to week, is still holding strong.
Points for Next 7 Days:
Today: 90. Partly to mostly sunny. Humid. Chance for showers and thunderstorms.
Friday: 93. Partly to mostly sunny. Hot. Humid. Chance for showers and thunderstorms.
Saturday: 92. Partly to mostly sunny. Hot. Humid. Chance for showers/thunderstorms.
Sunday: 88. Partly to mostly sunny. Hot. Humid. Showers/thunderstorms likely late and overnight
Monday: 84. Partly to mostly cloudy. Humid. Showers/thunderstorms likely.
Tuesday: 84. Partly to mostly cloudy. Humid. Showers/thunderstorms likely.
Wednesday: 86. Partly to mostly sunny. Humid. Chance for showers/thunderstorms.
Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.