August 15th, 2014

Early Fall like weather to continue for today and into early next week before steady warm up begins.   

The forecast for the month of August with a warmer ending is looking really good. This shot of early fall weather is the last big shot this month, and that too was a good call. There will be a little push to reinforce the cooler air on Sunday, but will not be as cool as it is today. So far we are cooler than average for the month, so can the second half bring the temps above normal?   Time will tell.  

The forecast for August to be a drier month has been blown up due to the major rainstorm of this week. Out of 15 days this month, 3 have brought rain. With one being a tiny amount (less than  a tenth).  But this last weeks 3+ is putting us about normal for the whole month. And next Tue is looking wet also. So .... not so dry; but that is okay with me. I prefer green over brown anyway. 


Highlights into next week: 

1. Sunny Saturday. Very chilly start with temps in the 40s. Highs about 77. Low near 55 with clouds increasing at night and a chance of shower/thundershower late at night. 
   
2. Clouds and possible shower or thundershower early in the day. Sunshine developing for the at least the afternoon. Highs near 80. Low near 59. 
3. Partly to mostly sunny Monday. Pleasantly warm. Highs in the lower 80s. Lows near 64 with clouds increasing. 
4. Wet Tuesday as a seasonally strong storm moves from the Ohio Valley to the Delaware/Maryland coast. We will be on the chilly side with potential for some heavy rain. At this time expect 1" of rain with locally higher possible. Highs near 74. Low near 65. 
5. Wednesday -Sunday:  no chilly air behind Tuesday's system. Warmer air building slowly. Highs in the low 80s Wed to near 90 by Sunday. Becoming more humid with chance of afternoon storms over the weekend. Not a washout by any means. But typical summer humidity with a storm or two.  

I still expect some heat for the beginning of school. Temps near 90 or above (heat wave?) for at least a few days, then a slight cool down before we warm up again. No deep troughs for now means no chilly shots of air for the near future.  You can see this on the pics below. I am only showing the US model, but others are showing a similar signal. 

This is a possible scenario for Mon August 25. See that oblong circle labeled 594? That is a heat wave signal.

On August 31 the signal on the American Model is still a big ridge in the central/eastern USA. Warm, warm, warm.