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Faithful Forecast

A Forecast for Southern Schuylkill and Northern Lebanon County  

A Well Earned Break

8/1/2017

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Discussion:

We are getting a break from the wet weather and I hope you are enjoying it.  Even over the weekend, with the Friday night system, we did not get what was expected. And no one is complaining. That storm, and I am being fair here, was overstated on my part, and on the parts of many other forecasters. It was a flash flood producer in some locations. But over-all it was NOT a widespread 2-4” rainstorm of southern PA. Nor was it a widespread 4-6” rainstorm for MD and DE.

Yes, you can find some locales that got 5 or 6” of rain. But widespread? NO.  Thankfully no.  The models and forecasters plainly overstated the storm.  Hopefully, lesson learned.

This break will come to an end by Friday night at the latest, and by this evening at the earliest. Yes, it shower/thunder later this afternoon/evening but it is unlikely. A greater chance for showers/storms will occur Wed and Thu.

A major trough will deepen in the Great Lakes and come east with a strong cold front on Friday evening. This will set off some heavy showers and thunderstorms for Friday evening. This will bring more refreshing air into the region for the weekend.

Next week looks unsettled and “relatively” cool. The wettest days appear to be Mon and then perhaps Thu. But once again, no heatwaves in sight. Just some increased humidity, summer-like temps followed by refreshingly cooler than average air for the weekend.
 
Dailies:

Wednesday: Sun and clouds. Warm and humid. Chance for a shower or a thunderstorm.  
Thursday: Sun and clouds. Warm and humid. Chance for a shower or a thunderstorm.
Friday: Sun and clouds. Warm and humid. Heavy showers and thunderstorms likely late.  
Saturday: Mostly sunny. Cooler. Breezy. 
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Beautiful. Breezy.  
Monday: Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms are likely.    
Tuesday: Sun and clouds. Seasonable temperatures and humidity.   
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    Author

    Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.

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