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Faithful Forecast

A Forecast for Southern Schuylkill and Northern Lebanon County  

A New Week with Some Sunshine!

12/3/2018

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The concern for the cool air holding tough was unfortunately correct. No sunshine and no 55 to 60-degree temperatures either. Seen this play out before. Now with some clear skies and sunshine to start the day will we jump into the 50’s today.  

Looking ahead to the rest of the week … and there is not much too see at all. Partly to mostly skies through Friday seem to be in play. It will be seasonably chilly, but this is December so chilly is expected. Nothing out of what can be expected at this time of year. A good week to finish or start, Christmas shopping, set up outdoor lights (if you do that sort of thing), or clean up the last bit of leaves that fell late this year.  It will be a decent week. At least bright rather than dull and grey like it has been.

A question begins to arise at the end of the forecast period for next Sun-Mon. Will we get a storm?  And if we do will it be all snow?  Too early to answer that yet. But there are a few things we do know:
  1. Cold air will be available for any storm next weekend. Though, the cold will ease some through the weekend.  
  2. A storm will be developing around Texas and will move to the Gulf Coast states by late Saturday.
  3. Lots of moisture from the Pacific and the Gulf of Mexico will be flowing N/NE into the storm.
Some things we don’t know:
  • Does the storm track off the coast or on the coast from the Gulf Coast to the East Coast?
  • Does the storm stall near the NC coast and then head east out to sea, giving us clouds but no precipitation?
  • Does the storm phase with some northern stream energy moving up the coast giving us at least some snow?
  • Does the storm stall near the Chesapeake Bay and move NE out to sea giving us a heavy snowfall?
  • Does the storm phase early and stay inland and bring some snow changing to rain?
  • Does the air mass moderate enough to make this a rainstorm over a snowstorm?
  • Does the storm stay far enough south that we just stay sunny all weekend?
As you can see, there are many unknowns yet. And since we are a week away, no one knows what it will do. Anyone who states they do is just speculating. And they might be right, but they might be wrong. No one knows but God. In the meantime, we will observe and wait. By Wednesday, we will know a bit more.

Until then enjoy. 

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    Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.

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