Discussion:
It is true: a little snow, a little rain, a little sun, some strong winds, a cold day or two and a warming trend ... something for everyone.
Not a lot of time this evening, so I will be brief. But really nothing earth shattering to talk about … at least yet.
Storm tracking just to our south Sunday will bring a cold, nasty rain which could end as snow showers Sunday night and into Monday. The biggest story will be the very strong gusty winds on Monday. Gusts could reach 50 mph. (NY and New England get a snowstorm and coastal New England may have gusts over 70 mph with heavy snow! Ouch!)
It calms down Tue into Wed. Then the storm I was hinting at earlier in the week *MAY* take shape. What we do know is that a strong northern upper low will drop south. This will bring more cold air, and a likely hood of at least some light snow. What we do not know is whether some moisture from the south may get drawn in (with the help of SW US cut off low) or a piece of that upper low could phase with this northern low.
What is the difference? No interaction = light snow. Moisture interaction = Moderate snow. Full phasing interaction = very heavy wind-blown snow. This would happen later Wed and Thu. (Most models show no interaction, but two show some, and one shows full phasing … so fun, fun, fun!)
After this, as has happened all winter … it warms up starting Saturday.
It is true: a little snow, a little rain, a little sun, some strong winds, a cold day or two and a warming trend ... something for everyone.
Not a lot of time this evening, so I will be brief. But really nothing earth shattering to talk about … at least yet.
Storm tracking just to our south Sunday will bring a cold, nasty rain which could end as snow showers Sunday night and into Monday. The biggest story will be the very strong gusty winds on Monday. Gusts could reach 50 mph. (NY and New England get a snowstorm and coastal New England may have gusts over 70 mph with heavy snow! Ouch!)
It calms down Tue into Wed. Then the storm I was hinting at earlier in the week *MAY* take shape. What we do know is that a strong northern upper low will drop south. This will bring more cold air, and a likely hood of at least some light snow. What we do not know is whether some moisture from the south may get drawn in (with the help of SW US cut off low) or a piece of that upper low could phase with this northern low.
What is the difference? No interaction = light snow. Moisture interaction = Moderate snow. Full phasing interaction = very heavy wind-blown snow. This would happen later Wed and Thu. (Most models show no interaction, but two show some, and one shows full phasing … so fun, fun, fun!)
After this, as has happened all winter … it warms up starting Saturday.
- Sunday: Rain. Possibly ending as some light snow showers Sun night into Monday. Turning very windy and colder overnight into Monday.
- Monday: Strong gusty winds with the chance of snow showers. Colder.
- Tuesday/Wednesday: Sun and clouds. Cold. Light snow likely late Wednesday
- Wednesday night/Thursday: Cold with some light snow and snow showers? Or something bigger? Tough call. Ingredients are there. But will they come together? I suspect somewhat, but not to the full phasing. I don’t think the timing will be just right, but my confidence in any solution is pretty low. I am confident in us getting some light snow midweek.
- Friday: Windy and cold. Flurries.
- Saturday: Turning milder once again.
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