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Faithful Forecast

A Forecast for Southern Schuylkill and Northern Lebanon County  

A Break followed by Round 2

3/3/2018

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Now that was a storm …
  • 1.5” rain … wind blown “white rain” in the valley here on and off with two coatings … up to 3 feet of snow in the Catskill Mountains, 2 ft in the Poconos, and 8” in Philadelphia … severe coastal flooding from NJ to ME … 1.8 million customers without power at the peak … trees damage significant throughout the North East

Even if we didn’t experience all of it … the storm was everything advertised. And I was also pleased with how well the forecast turned out. Not perfect … as the snow forecast was ok … but pleasing to see it come very close to dead on.

Thankfully we do have some decent days to just rest, clean up, and then prepare for Round 2 ... this coming Wednesday.

​A new coastal storm will develop in NC and head NE along the coast. It too will strengthen quite a bit, bring rain, heavy snow, coastal flooding, strong winds. BUT NOTHING as strong as what we just had.

What does this mean for us?
  • Atmosphere in front is much colder that what we had last Thu, so we have a much higher chance for snow. Any rain changes to heavy snow. At least a moderate snowfall is expected, but heavy very possible.  
  • Storm will move slowly.
  • Winds will be strong and gusty as the storm moves away.  
 
How can I be so confident so many days ahead?  The big Midwest storm cannot go through the Great Lakes, it is blocked. It must go east.

The new coastal redevelopment cannot go too far east, for it is blocked. So, it must stay close to the coast, and then it will curl into SE Canada. Pretty simple actually.

Due to seeing the intense energy on Satellite pictures, this storm will grow stronger on the models as we get closer and forecasts will adjust accordingly. But since I don’t just regurgitate the computer models, I might as well go ahead and state what I’ve thought might happen, esp. since there is no reason to go away from it … yet. Fun … fun … fun.

And to think we might have Round 3 coming March 12-13.

Winter is not over … yet.

Enjoy!
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    Author

    Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.

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