Yes, today will be a little less humid, with lots of sunshine and some clouds. A wonderful August summer day. Get out and enjoy it if you get the chance, because things start going downhill Friday afternoon.
Friday now includes the chance for a shower or storm as a cold front, supported by an upper level trough that will become a major player in our weather into the middle part of next week. This front will stall as the upper level trough migrates south and then forms a cut off low in the Ohio Valley. This places us to the east of the trough, where a increasing southerly flow will bring in deep moisture into out area once again. This has happened this summer on several occasions, and it looks to happen again.
Showers look to increase Friday night and into Sat morning. A lull may occur Sat afternoon and evening, before the showers ramp up again. Some heavy rain may be possible Sat night into Sun morning. The heaviest rain will likely be to our east, so maybe we miss this rain. A lull occurs again the rest of Sunday, with some scattered showers or a storm still possible. Then the showers and storms with heavy rain increase for Mon and Tue.
How much rain? A widespread 2-3" is very likely from Fri night through Tue night. Higher amounts doubling that are also possible. But that cannot be predicted until much closer in time. This is not a good thing as it looks right now considering how wet we have been, and the flooding we've already dealt with. Perhaps, the one model that is pushing things east of us is right ...
Until then enjoy today and most of tomorrow ...
Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.