A nice ending to Labor Day Sunday. More pleasant than that of Saturday. And the trend will continue: Labor Day looks to be AWESOME. Sunshine and warm.
Tuesday starts off that way too before clouds increase and showers and storms move in late in the day/overnight. This is earlier than I thought previously by about 8 hours. But once the wet weather moves in it will stay for about 48 hours.
A wave or two of low pressure will develop along the front that will stall out across our area. I think the models are pushing the front off the coast too quickly, like usual. So, slow it up a bit, and delay the clearing skies until Thu night and/or Friday.
These waves of low pressure will enhance the rain and help promote a deep fetch of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico into our area. Some heavy rain is likely Wed/Thu. I would expect a solid 1-2” with locally up to 3” of rain is likely.
Friday, Saturday, and Sunday then look to be very pleasant September days with sunshine and highs in the 60s to near 70.
So what about Hurricane Irma?
This is the big question for a lot of people. And I somehow think that if Hurricane Harvey had been a minor inconvenience, rather than the monster devastating storm that it was, not too many would care about Irma. But Harvey was a menace, and so now people are concerned about Irma. And they might have a reason to.
Irma is a strong hurricane in the Atlantic and is heading basically west. I still stand with my initial feeling that this storm will threaten Fla to NC. From what I have been seeing, I feel the door for it to escape out to see and stay off shore is closing. Also, the storm looks to enter the western Atlantic this week and a favorable environment to strengthen and increase in size. This storm will be a threat to the US after Sep 10. A dangerous and powerful storm we do not need nor want. Perhaps it will stay off shore. That would be the best case … unfortunately from a forecasting perspective, the best case is not looking like it will happen.
Stay tuned. More updates later this week.
Labor Day: Mostly sunny. Beautiful. Warm.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Beautiful. Warm. Then increasing clouds with showers and thunderstorms becoming likely late/overnight.
Wednesday: Rain with chance for thunderstorm.
Thursday: Rain with chance for thunderstorm ending late. Some clearing developing.
Friday: Sun and clouds. Refreshingly cool with a breeze.
Saturday: Sun and clouds. Seasonally cool.
Sunday: Sun and clouds. Seasonally cool.
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Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.