Computer models are getting a lot of attention lately. And today, we are learning how wrong they can be.
Exhibit A: Virus deaths (projected) have gone from 1 million to 100,000 to 50,000. That is a big change. Bet reality will be lower than that. Maybe much lower. NYC hospitals have now discharged more people than admitting over the last 3 days. Hmm.
Exhibit B: Weak storm system moving through on Wed would keep us cool. I was uncertain. If it was to our north we could get quite warm. To our south, we stay chilly. I took the middle of the road. Today I am going warm. Models went from 40s to 60s in the matter of 48 hours. Oops.
So what are we facing?
Today: Beautiful. Sunny. Warm. Mid 60s at least.
Tuesday: Some sun possible early. Then clouds. Chance for showers late. 60.
Wednesday: Partial sun. Chance for a shower. 68.
Thursday: Cloudy. Chance for showers. Cooler. 55.
Good Friday: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Slight chance of a shower. Breezy. Chilly. 48.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. Chilly. 48.
Resurrection Sunday: Sun to start. Increasing clouds. Milder. 55. (Weekend is highly uncertain at this time. Expect changes.)
Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.