Thankfully I was wrong about Tuesday. Temperatures were fine, but we didn’t get any rain! I am very happy to have been wrong. And that combined with Monday’s sprinkle, meant yet another day of drying out and stream flow slowly lowering.
But now we face the wettest three days of week, potentially. As you could tell (if you were up) by the showers this morning, any shower or storm will be capable of dumping some very heavy rain in a short amount of time. This is the risk for the next 72 hours.
Scattered showers like this morning with large breaks in between them are no problem. But string a few together over an hour or two would be a big problem. There is no way to predict whether this will occur or not. Hopefully not. The risk, however, is there. That is why the NWS has issued a Flash Flood Watch. Meaning the potential, as I just stated, is there for flash flooding to occur, but it is not yet occurring, and hopefully will not. We’ve had more than enough.
Beyond Friday we begin to dry out Sat-Mon with some nice mid-summer weather: Sunshine, humidity, and temperatures approaching 90 degrees as the western Atlantic Ridge builds west. By Tuesday this ridge will seem like it is splitting in half: One half to the east, and one to the west as a new trough begins to move into the central and eastern US.
Once again, no heat waves in sight. In fact, if we do not hit 90 Sun – Tue then we may not approach 90 again through the middle of August.
Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.